Disney Lorcana Market Watch: Week of April 24

Each week, I will be taking a look at the cards that rose and fell the most in each of Disney Lorcana’s sets and potentially make some predictions based on chatter I am hearing and results I am seeing throughout the community.

A few rules up front:

Price changes are based on TCGplayer Market Price, updated every hour on the hour (through an API). Market price is based on the average price of card sales. I am looking at the percentage price change from 7 days ago compared to when the article is written each week. Depending on when you are reading this/article goes live, compared to when that section was written, prices may change slightly.
I am only looking at cards Rare or above, and with current value of close to $1 or more. Cards under $1 can have wide market swings given easy buyouts, but given the current state of supply of cards it was hard to find cards above this value for comparison given their growth trends. For cards under $1 I only included those I feel have the potential to go higher and were not simply artificially inflated (i.e. they actually see play).
I am looking at only non-foil pricing.
Prices for the two most recently released sets of Lorcana are currently falling overall due to the supply increases with reprints. Both big box stores (Targets, Walmarts, Best Buys, etc.) and local game stores (LGS) have received massive inflows of product, tanking box prices to below MSRP.
This article is for informational purposes only, you should not construe this information as financial advice.

News of the Week Affecting Lorcana Finance

Prices overall are down for Lorcana this week. This is likely due to Set Championships going on, both from the standpoint that players cannot even really order cards and expect to get them in time, and additional product is available for all sets at their LGS.

The major news in Lorcana this week revolves around Into the Inklands Set Championships (both prizes and boxes you can buy) as well as the continued reveals for Ursula's Return. Let's start with Set Championships. Now the public sees with their eyes what they should have read here weeks ago: stores that are holding Set Champs also got a hold of six to eight cases (amounts vary) of every set (if they wanted them) and most took advantage of this when it came to The First Chapter. Personally, I have been to three LGS all selling boxes at $150 (pre-tax) which was a good bargain compared to TCGPlayer pricing.

For players who opened their boxes they purchased, it has simply expanded the amount of The First Chapter singles in the market. Whether it is through purchased boxes, prize packs, or other means, most players are simply looking to recoup any money spent in any way (purchases or entry fees) so they rush to TCG Player to make unverified listings of any sellable cards. Overall, this depresses the market, but I think this will just be temporary. Set Championships have also been a huge boon for Lorcana as well, and players from other games are really starting to see the profit potential for these promo cards from Lorcana. New players means more buyers, means Supply will dry up after these boxes are gone, so prices should go back up in a few weeks.

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The other major news from Set Champs is the pricing of the Enchanted Stitch - Rock Star and the playmats. Initially pricing was over $1k for a Stitch and closer to $400-500 for each playmat. Now that you can list them both on TCG Player it will be a race to the bottom, but since most sales happened in private (usually on social media) I do not expect them to go much lower than $600-700 and if you are looking to purchase them, the cheapest time to buy will be next week. The real question from there is what happens? Assuming this card is not the perennial Set Champs prize card, prices should rise on Stitch over time, especially once players start to get Graded ones back from those Grading agencies.I am not usually one to Grade cards, but for prizes like Stitch I am highly considering it.

So my assumption is right now into next week, prices will dip, but then rise over time. Remember, it may seem like there is a massive supply of them out there, as every person flashes pictures of their prizes on their socials, but the truth is (like all Lorcana) the demand far outweighs the supply. In this case we are truly dealing with a limited asset, so it can only go up in the long run.

My suggestions: if you plan to keep them as "trophies": get them Graded. If you plan to play with them, be my guest. If you plan to sell them, wait a month or two. If you plan to buy them, get them next week!

We are knee deep in reveals for Ursula's Return, with around 20 released just today (as of Wednesday April 24). During reveal season players tend to speculate on cards with obvious synergy, but you need to be careful. You need to make sure you are buying early, and selling at the height of the hype, or you'll be stuck with a lot of Beast - Relentless type cards in your binders!

Check out our new Disney Lorcana Prices section!